POST-ELECTION REVIEW / NOVEMBER 4, 2026
Democratic control was the favored outcome in both chambers. The reported results match that direction, but the Senate seat count already exceeds the archived projection.
Explore the reviewed results ↓01 / CHAMBER CONTROL
The comparison below preserves the DDHQ November 2 benchmark reproduced in the supplied report. It is not a claim that Bellelytics developed the national forecast.
Reported seats · ABC News
43 seats unresolved
Democratic control matches the 84% pre-election favorite. The final seat-count difference cannot be scored while 43 seats remain unresolved.
ABC snapshot: Nov. 4, 8:56 a.m. EST.
National House source ↗
Called seats plus holdovers
2 contests unresolved
Democratic control matches the 65% pre-election favorite. The D-caucus total is already 2 seats above the archived projection.
ABC snapshot: Nov. 4, 9:14 a.m. EST.
National Senate source ↗
Senate comparison includes the report's 34 Democratic-caucus and 31 Republican holdovers. Alaska and Mississippi are unresolved in this review. Holding existing calls and caucus alignment fixed, the D-caucus total can finish at 54–56, or 2–4 above the benchmark. This is an arithmetic range, not a probability interval. House unresolved count: 435 − 229 − 163 = 43.
02 / FAVORITE-HIT SCORECARD
Only races with a DDHQ call are scored. A correct favorite is not proof of probability calibration; a 51% favorite losing is not equivalent to a 95% favorite losing.
ALL SENATE CONTESTS REVIEWED
31 / 332 misses · 2 uncalled
The misses: Iowa and South Carolina.
SELECTED HOUSE BATTLEGROUNDS
8 / 1810 misses · 9 uncalled
27 reviewed; 408 House races not individually reviewed.
PENNSYLVANIA: FOUR RACES
3 / 4The national benchmark missed PA-01.
The earlier Pennsylvania experiment missed PA-10.
These are descriptive favorite-hit rates for the reviewed calls, not final model grades. The House sample was selected for competitiveness in the pre-election report and is not representative of all 435 districts.
03 / SELECTED COMPARISONS
Iowa was close to a coin flip in the archive. South Carolina was a Republican favorite, but not in the report's 65%-or-higher upset-watch category. Missouri's 2nd and Alabama's 2nd districts did meet that threshold.
Archived probabilities below are selected editorial excerpts from the supplied report/workbook. Source links open the result provider's current pages; their forecast widgets may now differ from the preserved November 2 archive.
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Ashley Hinson 53%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Josh Turek (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Darline Graham 61%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Annie Andrews (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
James Talarico 62%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
James Talarico (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Roy Cooper 85%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Roy Cooper (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Adam Hamilton 51%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Adam Hamilton (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Troy Jackson 65%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Troy Jackson (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Sherrod Brown 54%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Sherrod Brown (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Mary Peltola 61%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
No winner assigned.
Excluded from scoring.
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Cindy Hyde-Smith 90%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
No winner assigned.
Excluded from scoring.
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Brian Fitzpatrick 55%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Bob Harvie (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Robert Brooks 76%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Robert Brooks (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Paige Cognetti 66%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Paige Cognetti (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Janelle Stelson 71%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Janelle Stelson (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Ann Wagner 65%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Fred Wellman (D)
Called by DDHQ
NOV. 2 FAVORITE
Rhett Marques 69%
REVIEWED OUTCOME
Shomari Figures (D)
Called by DDHQ
The 10 favorite misses in the reviewed House sample are PA-01, FL-22, TX-15, MT-01, KY-06, WI-01, SC-01, VA-01, MO-02 and AL-02. The remaining called races in this sample matched the archived favorite. A party flip is not automatically an upset.
04 / KEEP THE PENNSYLVANIA EXPERIMENT SEPARATE
The source report preserved a separate, earlier Pennsylvania experiment. Neither baseline has been changed after seeing the outcome, and no retrospective ensemble has been created.
| Race / called winner | National D win probability | Earlier PA D win probability | National / PA score |
|---|---|---|---|
| PA-01 Bob Harvie | 45% | 63% | Miss / Match |
| PA-07 Robert Brooks | 76% | 66% | Match / Match |
| PA-08 Paige Cognetti | 66% | 52% | Match / Match |
| PA-10 Janelle Stelson | 71% | 48% | Match / Miss |
All four calls favor the Democratic nominee. Probabilities are win probabilities, not projected vote shares. Earlier PA figures come from page 4 of the supplied report; the underlying earlier experiment's full archive was not independently available in this review.
05 / SOURCE-LOGGED RETURNS
35 Senate races and 27 selected House races. Returns shown are the source snapshots reviewed, not a live feed. Other House races are not reviewed, rather than labeled uncalled.
62 reviewed races
Download reviewed returns CSV ↓Scroll the table horizontally to see votes and source timestamps.
| Race | Call / snapshot leader | Reported main-candidate returns | Source timestamp / reporting |
|---|---|---|---|
| AK-SEN Alaska | Uncalled Dan Sullivan (R)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Mary Peltola98,951 votes · 47.66%R Dan Sullivan100,747 votes · 48.52%Source / comparison noteFirst-choice count; no winner assigned. Extra Republican nominee is not included in the main-candidate R column. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:12 EST 68% estimated reporting Not certified |
| AL-SEN Alabama | Called Barry Moore (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D Everett Wess757,464 votes · 45.25%R Barry Moore916,559 votes · 54.75% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 02:57 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:05 EST Not certified |
| AR-SEN Arkansas | Called Tom Cotton (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D Hallie Shoffner375,619 votes · 42.38%R Tom Cotton480,621 votes · 54.22% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 08:49 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:33 EST Not certified |
| CO-SEN Colorado | Called John Hickenlooper (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D John Hickenlooper1,310,937 votes · 60.24%R Mark Baisley773,936 votes · 35.56% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:49 EST 77% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 21:00 EST Not certified |
| DE-SEN Delaware | Called Chris Coons (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Chris Coons240,347 votes · 63.57%R Michael Katz137,764 votes · 36.43% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:52 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:00 EST Not certified |
| FL-SEN Florida | Called Ashley Moody (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D Angie Nixon3,968,811 votes · 47.98%R Ashley Moody4,207,774 votes · 50.87%Source / comparison noteSpecial election. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:00 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:00 EST Not certified |
| GA-SEN Georgia | Called Jon Ossoff (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Jon Ossoff2,463,132 votes · 59.00%R Mike Collins1,711,322 votes · 41.00% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:25 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 19:18 EST Not certified |
| IA-SEN Iowa | Called Josh Turek (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Josh Turek683,429 votes · 50.47%R Ashley Hinson628,799 votes · 46.43% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:13 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 23:16 EST Not certified |
| ID-SEN Idaho | Called Jim Risch (R)Winner called by DDHQ | R Jim Risch366,445 votes · 56.82%I / other Todd Achilles215,763 votes · 33.46%Source / comparison noteOther column is Todd Achilles only; additional independent nominees are not aggregated. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:25 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 00:30 EST Not certified |
| IL-SEN Illinois | Called Juliana Stratton (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Juliana Stratton2,373,044 votes · 60.65%R Don Tracy1,477,661 votes · 37.77% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:56 EST 91% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:00 EST Not certified |
| KS-SEN Kansas | Called Adam Hamilton (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Adam Hamilton556,414 votes · 50.92%R Roger Marshall503,230 votes · 46.05%Source / comparison noteArchived win probability favored Hamilton although archived D margin was -1 pp; both preserved. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:57 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:48 EST Not certified |
| KY-SEN Kentucky | Called Andy Barr (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D Charles Booker612,397 votes · 42.93%R Andy Barr784,181 votes · 54.97% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 06:36 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:26 EST Not certified |
| LA-SEN Louisiana | Called Julia Letlow (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D Jamie Davis720,106 votes · 49.12%R Julia Letlow745,963 votes · 50.88% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 02:12 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 00:32 EST Not certified |
| MA-SEN Massachusetts | Called Edward Markey (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Edward Markey1,475,418 votes · 63.89%R John Deaton730,036 votes · 31.61% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 06:25 EST 84% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:00 EST Not certified |
| ME-SEN Maine | Called Troy Jackson (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Troy Jackson354,076 votes · 53.25%R Susan Collins302,500 votes · 45.49%Source / comparison noteDDHQ denominator includes blank votes; shares are kept exactly as published and are not final certified shares. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 08:44 EST 88% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 01:10 EST Not certified |
| MI-SEN Michigan | Called Abdul El-Sayed (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Abdul El-Sayed2,460,493 votes · 52.53%R Mike Rogers2,129,767 votes · 45.47% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 08:34 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 01:15 EST Not certified |
| MN-SEN Minnesota | Called Peggy Flanagan (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Peggy Flanagan1,520,756 votes · 53.78%R Michele Tafoya1,232,698 votes · 43.60% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:49 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 00:03 EST Not certified |
| MS-SEN Mississippi | Uncalled Scott Colom (D)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Scott Colom461,370 votes · 49.06%R Cindy Hyde-Smith459,201 votes · 48.83%Source / comparison notePartial DDHQ snapshot; later AP/ABC figures differ. No winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 02:01 EST >95% estimated reporting Not certified |
| MT-SEN Montana | Called Kurt Alme (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D Alani Bankhead48,845 votes · 11.89%R Kurt Alme198,199 votes · 48.24%I / other Seth Bodnar156,419 votes · 38.07%Source / comparison noteActual D nominee Alani Bankhead was unpriced in the baseline. Do not assign her zero probability. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:26 EST 83% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 01:13 EST Not certified |
| NC-SEN North Carolina | Called Roy Cooper (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Roy Cooper2,463,773 votes · 58.68%R Michael Whatley1,640,663 votes · 39.08% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:21 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:23 EST Not certified |
| NE-SEN Nebraska | Called Pete Ricketts (R)Winner called by DDHQ | R Pete Ricketts370,411 votes · 50.38%I / other Dan Osborn321,218 votes · 43.69%Source / comparison noteOther column is Dan Osborn only; no Democratic caucus assumption. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 07:03 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 01:34 EST Not certified |
| NH-SEN New Hampshire | Called Chris Pappas (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Chris Pappas328,387 votes · 56.37%R John Sununu243,230 votes · 41.75% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:12 EST 90% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:00 EST Not certified |
| NJ-SEN New Jersey | Called Cory Booker (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Cory Booker1,781,641 votes · 62.12%R Justin Murphy1,012,949 votes · 35.32% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 08:53 EST 93% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:00 EST Not certified |
| NM-SEN New Mexico | Called Ben Ray Lujan (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Ben Ray Lujan455,165 votes · 63.15%R Larry Marker265,557 votes · 36.85% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:22 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 21:32 EST Not certified |
| OH-SEN Ohio | Called Sherrod Brown (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Sherrod Brown2,301,042 votes · 50.01%R Jon Husted2,077,750 votes · 45.15%Source / comparison noteSpecial election. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 05:40 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 23:15 EST Not certified |
| OK-SEN Oklahoma | Called Kevin Hern (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D N'Kiyla Thomas430,993 votes · 39.20%R Kevin Hern629,971 votes · 57.29% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:49 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:00 EST Not certified |
| OR-SEN Oregon | Called Jeff Merkley (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Jeff Merkley862,755 votes · 56.66%R David Smith617,053 votes · 40.52% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:30 EST 71% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 23:00 EST Not certified |
| RI-SEN Rhode Island | Called Jack Reed (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Jack Reed235,276 votes · 66.73%R Raymond McKay103,996 votes · 29.49% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-03 23:20 EST 89% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:00 EST Not certified |
| SC-SEN South Carolina | Called Annie Andrews (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Annie Andrews1,042,362 votes · 51.25%R Darline Graham951,165 votes · 46.76% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 02:25 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 21:54 EST Not certified |
| SD-SEN South Dakota | Called Mike Rounds (R)Winner called by DDHQ | R Mike Rounds184,437 votes · 60.67%I / other Brian Bengs119,543 votes · 39.33%Source / comparison noteOther column is Brian Bengs; archived D probability remains unpriced. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:15 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:02 EST Not certified |
| TN-SEN Tennessee | Called Bill Hagerty (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D Marquita Bradshaw886,969 votes · 42.93%R Bill Hagerty1,138,264 votes · 55.09% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:16 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:51 EST Not certified |
| TX-SEN Texas | Called James Talarico (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D James Talarico5,400,801 votes · 55.10%R Ken Paxton4,213,646 votes · 42.98% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 08:11 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:14 EST Not certified |
| VA-SEN Virginia | Called Mark Warner (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Mark Warner2,176,244 votes · 61.10%R Bert Mizusawa1,385,569 votes · 38.90% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:15 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 19:00 EST Not certified |
| WV-SEN West Virginia | Called Shelley Moore Capito (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D Rachel Anderson172,922 votes · 37.91%R Shelley Moore Capito266,068 votes · 58.33%Source / comparison noteArchived 100% is rounded; not a guarantee. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 02:36 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 19:30 EST Not certified |
| WY-SEN Wyoming | Called Harriet Hageman (R)Winner called by DDHQ | D James Byrd65,097 votes · 34.76%R Harriet Hageman122,157 votes · 65.24% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 02:02 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 21:00 EST Not certified |
| AL-02 Alabama | Called Shomari Figures (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Shomari Figures124,422 votes · 53.75%R Rhett Marques107,049 votes · 46.25% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 01:24 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:42 EST Not certified |
| CO-03 Colorado | Uncalled Jeff Hurd (R)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Dwayne Romero145,702 votes · 48.23%R Jeff Hurd146,913 votes · 48.63%Source / comparison noteNo winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:49 EST 83% estimated reporting Not certified |
| FL-07 Florida | Uncalled Ryan Elijah (R)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Bale Dalton159,113 votes · 49.17%R Ryan Elijah161,019 votes · 49.76%Source / comparison noteNo winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 01:26 EST >95% estimated reporting Not certified |
| FL-09 Florida | Uncalled Darren Soto (D)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Darren Soto143,174 votes · 50.26%R Dan Green141,697 votes · 49.74%Source / comparison noteNo winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-03 23:56 EST >95% estimated reporting Not certified |
| FL-22 Florida | Called Pia Dandiya (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Pia Dandiya153,047 votes · 51.89%R Casey Askar141,886 votes · 48.11% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:01 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:05 EST Not certified |
| IA-02 Iowa | Called Lindsay James (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Lindsay James171,484 votes · 49.54%R Joe Mitchell157,722 votes · 45.56% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 02:01 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 23:33 EST Not certified |
| KY-06 Kentucky | Called Zach Dembo (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Zach Dembo138,778 votes · 52.70%R Ralph Alvarado114,030 votes · 43.30% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:57 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 21:07 EST Not certified |
| ME-02 Maine | Uncalled Matt Dunlap (D)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Matt Dunlap147,841 votes · 49.42%R Paul LePage147,698 votes · 49.37%Source / comparison noteDDHQ denominator includes blank votes; no winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 09:09 EST 85% estimated reporting Not certified |
| MI-04 Michigan | Uncalled Bill Huizenga (R)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Sean McCann167,830 votes · 49.16%R Bill Huizenga168,430 votes · 49.33%Source / comparison noteDDHQ snapshot differs from ABC national display; do not combine vote counts or infer a winner. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 06:07 EST 92% estimated reporting Not certified |
| MI-10 Michigan | Uncalled Christina Hines (D)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Christina Hines188,078 votes · 52.44%R Michael Bouchard162,347 votes · 45.26%Source / comparison noteNo winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 07:39 EST >95% estimated reporting Not certified |
| MN-01 Minnesota | Uncalled Jake Johnson (D)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Jake Johnson163,060 votes · 50.05%R Brad Finstad162,738 votes · 49.95%Source / comparison noteNo winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:19 EST >95% estimated reporting Not certified |
| MO-02 Missouri | Called Fred Wellman (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Fred Wellman169,477 votes · 51.14%R Ann Wagner153,132 votes · 46.21% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 03:51 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 00:19 EST Not certified |
| MT-01 Montana | Called Sam Forstag (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Sam Forstag105,818 votes · 51.45%R Aaron Flint94,157 votes · 45.78%Source / comparison noteDDHQ call; ABC national page still displayed a lead at its separate snapshot. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:26 EST 78% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 02:04 EST Not certified |
| NC-01 North Carolina | Called Don Davis (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Don Davis152,442 votes · 49.81%R Laurie Buckhout143,852 votes · 47.00% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:21 EST 94% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 00:16 EST Not certified |
| NC-11 North Carolina | Called Jamie Ager (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Jamie Ager195,637 votes · 57.14%R Jennifer Balkcom141,427 votes · 41.30%Source / comparison noteArchived margin field is nonnumeric $-0; margin error must be left unscored. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:21 EST 94% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 20:28 EST Not certified |
| NY-01 New York | Uncalled Nicholas LaLota (R)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Christopher Gallant145,869 votes · 48.88%R Nicholas LaLota152,546 votes · 51.12%Source / comparison noteNo winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 00:09 EST 93% estimated reporting Not certified |
| NY-17 New York | Uncalled Cait Conley (D)Snapshot leader only; not a winner | D Cait Conley133,219 votes · 52.22%R Michael Lawler121,881 votes · 47.78%Source / comparison noteNo winner assigned. | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 01:15 EST 85% estimated reporting Not certified |
| OH-07 Ohio | Called Brian Poindexter (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Brian Poindexter180,614 votes · 54.93%R Max Miller148,177 votes · 45.07% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 05:40 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 23:16 EST Not certified |
| PA-01 Pennsylvania | Called Bob Harvie (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Bob Harvie188,011 votes · 52.74%R Brian Fitzpatrick168,470 votes · 47.26% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 01:20 EST 90% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 00:59 EST Not certified |
| PA-07 Pennsylvania | Called Robert Brooks (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Robert Brooks163,823 votes · 56.05%R Ryan Mackenzie128,465 votes · 43.95% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 01:22 EST 92% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 21:33 EST Not certified |
| PA-08 Pennsylvania | Called Paige Cognetti (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Paige Cognetti152,583 votes · 54.37%R Robert Bresnahan128,081 votes · 45.63% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 00:19 EST 90% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 21:00 EST Not certified |
| PA-10 Pennsylvania | Called Janelle Stelson (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Janelle Stelson173,845 votes · 55.03%R Scott Perry142,059 votes · 44.97% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 00:19 EST 93% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:39 EST Not certified |
| SC-01 South Carolina | Called Nancy Lacore (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Nancy Lacore161,878 votes · 49.69%R Jenny Honeycutt158,570 votes · 48.67% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 02:24 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 01:39 EST Not certified |
| TX-15 Texas | Called Bobby Pulido (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Bobby Pulido126,204 votes · 62.32%R Monica De La Cruz76,305 votes · 37.68% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 04:45 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:58 EST Not certified |
| TX-35 Texas | Called Johnny Garcia (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Johnny Garcia139,984 votes · 55.43%R Carlos De La Cruz112,574 votes · 44.57% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 06:05 EST 94% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 00:34 EST Not certified |
| VA-01 Virginia | Called Shannon Taylor (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Shannon Taylor213,608 votes · 50.60%R Rob Wittman208,515 votes · 49.40% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-03 23:28 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-03 22:28 EST Not certified |
| WI-01 Wisconsin | Called Mitchell Berman (D)Winner called by DDHQ | D Mitchell Berman158,839 votes · 51.96%R Bryan Steil146,885 votes · 48.04% | DDHQ source ↗2026-11-04 01:51 EST >95% estimated reporting Call: 2026-11-04 01:05 EST Not certified |
No reviewed races match those filters.
D and R columns show the named main contenders, not aggregated votes for every candidate sharing that party label. I / other is the modeled independent contender, not all minor-party votes. Some candidates are omitted from this comparison table; the source links carry the broader return. Published percentages and reporting estimates are preserved, including differing denominators. Votes and leads may have changed since the shown timestamp.
06 / WHAT THIS REVIEW DOES NOT CLAIM
The baseline remains the supplied November 2 national benchmark. Current provider forecast widgets are not substituted. The original workbook and report are unchanged.
The internal workbook calculates provisional reported-minus-forecast margin differences. Counts are incomplete and source conventions can differ. These are not certified margin errors.
Only the preselected battlegrounds and two additional PA races were individually reviewed. Uncalled and unreviewed races are excluded from the favorite-hit denominator.
Two archived data issues remain visible: Kansas favored Hamilton by win probability while listing a −1-point Democratic margin; NC-11's margin field is the nonnumeric text “$-0” and is not scored. A missing modeled probability is not zero. The national benchmark's historical reconstruction and redistribution limits remain described in the source methodology.
